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Shortages Coming Our Way: Please Stock Now!

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Shortages Coming Our Way: Please Stock Now! Friends, I want to talk about the grocery list a prepared mom keeps an eye on. Not every item on it is heading for empty shelves. Some are facing real supply trouble, some are riding a roller coaster of prices, and a few are quietly cheap right now. The wise thing is to know which is which and buy a little extra while the buying is good. No panic, no hoarding, just steady preparation. No fear, stock your pantry or freezer so you can sleep at night.

Shortages Coming Our Way: Please Stock Now!

Shortages Coming Our Way: Please Stock Now!

Beef

Beef is the clearest squeeze on the list. Prices remain near record highs, and the national cattle herd is the smallest it’s been since 1961. Economists say it could take a couple of years to rebuild, because a new generation of cattle has to be raised first. The USDA expects fed cattle slaughter to remain at historically low levels, which will keep beef production lower through 2027, even though cattle prices have eased slightly from their spring highs.

If you have freezer space, consider buying a quarter or half of a beef directly from a local rancher, or watch for sales and fill the freezer. Ground beef can also be pressure canned for shelf-stable meals. Keep a written freezer inventory, and have a plan for a power outage.

Coffee

Coffee is both good news and cautious news. Arabica futures recently dropped to about $2.80 a pound, the lowest since June, thanks to strong shipments from Brazil’s new crop. Still, inventories sit at 27 year lows, and a strong El Niño could threaten the next crop. Store prices usually lag behind futures, so shelf prices may not fall as fast as the headlines suggest.

If your family runs on coffee, a few extra sealed bags or cans while prices are easing is a comfortable cushion. Keep unopened coffee in a cool, dark spot, and freeze extra bags you won’t use for a while.

Cocoa and Chocolate Chips

Cocoa fell sharply earlier this year, but the relief didn’t reach the candy aisle. Wholesale cocoa has since rallied, and the earlier drop never translated into equal relief for shoppers. The structural problems behind the crisis remain, and the chocolate industry built its economics around much cheaper cocoa.

Chocolate chips keep well for a year or more in a cool, dry place away from heat. A little white bloom on old chocolate is harmless. Baking cocoa powder keeps even longer, so it’s a smart pantry item.

If We Have A War: Stock Unsweetened Cocoa

Chocolate: Everything You Want to Know

Sugar

The USDA’s September report lowered its 2026 and 2027 sugar projections due to production challenges, including mealybug problems in sugarcane. Sugar is one of the easiest things to store. Kept dry in airtight food-grade buckets, white sugar lasts indefinitely. Honey is another wonderful long-term sweetener to keep on hand.

Canned Tomatoes

Tomatoes are more of a slow squeeze than a shortage. Canned tomatoes, paste, and sauce depend on California’s Central Valley, which continues to face water scarcity and drought. Packaging costs are also a headwind, since steel and aluminum can prices swing with global metals markets. The tariffs on Mexican tomatoes mostly affect fresh tomatoes, not canned ones. Encouragingly, California growers and processors agreed on a 2026 contract price slightly lower than last year’s.

Buy a few extra cans each trip, rotate them based on the first-in, first-out approach, and, if you garden, put up your own tomatoes. Tomato paste and tomato powder are compact ways to store that flavor.

Specialty Spices: Cumin, Garlic, and Pepper

Your scratch cooking runs on these. India’s spring cumin harvest was expected to be smaller after a nearly 14 percent cut in acreage; garlic has had a hard growing season in China and southern Europe; and black pepper output fell by as much as 20 percent in 2025. McCormick said additional price increases would begin in February, and other seasoning companies cited garlic and pepper costs as well. One fair note: a June market report expected cumin prices to stay relatively stable in the near term because carryover stocks are healthy.

Whole spices last much longer than ground. Stock whole cumin seed and whole peppercorns in airtight jars, and grind as needed. You can also dehydrate your own garlic into powder or flakes.

Spices: The Best Ones to Stock

Wheat, Flour, Rice, and Corn

Here’s where the news is mixed, and where you can be strategic. The September USDA report left wheat supplies largely unchanged and raised global rice supplies. That means wheat and rice are calm right now, and calm is the best time to fill your buckets. Corn is the one to watch. U.S. corn production was reduced by 213 million bushels due to lower yields. Corn prices rallied to three year highs before pulling back a bit.

Wheat berries and white rice store for decades in Mylar bags with oxygen absorbers inside sealed buckets. Whole wheat flour contains natural oils and doesn’t keep as long, so buy berries and grind them fresh, or rotate the flour quickly. For corn, think popcorn kernels, whole dent corn, and cornmeal.

Aluminum Foil

It’s a small item with a big kitchen job. Tariffs on imported aluminum rose from 25 to 50 percent in June 2025, and aluminum prices climbed substantially through the year. Missile strikes on smelters in the Middle East, plus historically low inventories, further tightened supplies.

Pick up a few extra rolls of heavy-duty foil, and stretch what you have. Reusable lids, parchment paper, and cast iron all reduce the amount of foil you use.

20 Reasons Why We Need Aluminum Foil

A Prepared Family’s Plan

Buy one or two extra of these items each shopping trip instead of a giant one-time haul. Store them well, label the dates, and rotate. Prioritize the ones with real availability and price squeezes, like beef, spices, and sugar, and take advantage of the calm items, like rice and wheat. Prices can change, so stay flexible. A stocked pantry isn’t about fear. It’s about peace of mind and being able to bless a neighbor when they need it.

Final Word

Friends, I hope this leaves you feeling equipped instead of worried. Prices rise and fall, harvests come and go, and headlines will always be louder than the quiet work of a well-kept pantry. What matters is that we take the small, steady steps that are within our reach. Add an extra can, fill a bucket, rotate your stock, and keep your freezer organized. Those little habits add up to a home that can weather a hard season with peace instead of panic.

Please remember that preparation is also an act of love. A full pantry means you can feed your family when money is tight, share with a neighbor who is struggling, and take a meal to someone in need. Buy wisely, store carefully, and never let fear steal your joy. We do the work, and we trust the Lord with the rest. Thank you for being part of this community. I’m so grateful for each one of you. May God bless this world. Linda

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58 Comments

  1. One of your best. My research agrees with everything you wrote, though I’ll say some of mine on the same topic is more dire. Either way, you nailed it.
    I don’t drink coffee. My disclaimer. I do have quite a few of the green tea bags I treasure.
    I also have instant espresso- because of teaspoon of it in chocolate jumps up the chocolatey-ness (is that a word?) of everything chocolate.
    That got me to thinking. Instant coffee keeps almost indefinitely. OK, I was around police/fire for much of my career, so I understand the “ewwww” factor of that. But, given a choice between NO coffee and instant coffee, most agree they would manage with instant.
    Sadly, I believe the odds are that we are soon to be at the “this is it” phase of why we prep.
    One of the expressions I used to instruct my officers when I was emergency services was “failure to plan on your part does not constitute an emergency on my part.”
    I have a few more, but they are too salty for a family blog.

    1. Great comment. Especially about the instant coffee. It may not taste the best but it has caffeine in it. LOL!! We have a significant amount of coffee crystals in glass jars in our preps. If it comes to using it, we will have our morning coffee fix.
      And, I totally agree that the odds are that we will soon be at the “this is it” moment. I have been warning a bunch of non-prepper close friends but they all seem to be in Lala land. They had better know that when the time comes, they are not welcome to our stash. They had the same warnings we did. Have a great week!!!

      1. I tried to get the word out until recently. Now we have opsec going. If I talk about it now, people will know we have food. That makes us a target. I am more than willing and able to defend myself and my property. We have Stand your Ground, but I have been there and done than many times.
        It is something to be seriously avoided. Those who have taken a life for any reason know how it affects them.
        As I said in my commnet, at this point- if they haven’t done it by now, it isn’t my problem.
        WE who prep will be a good thing when there are limited supplies. We will not be in the crowd, thus leaving more for them.
        Hoarding is what will happen once “it” hits. What we did was provision when there was plenty for all who wanted to purchace, but chose so not to do.

        1. Yes, my warnings were subtle and only to a chosen few. I also have stopped recently. There are plenty urgings out in the media and elsewhere. If they don’t heed those, their problem, not mine. I also understand the issue of taking a life. All my life, I have had LEOs as friends from our city Chief of Police when I was in high school to current day having our County Sheriff as a close friend. Since I carry, many of them have discussed the issues with taking a life. It is something that I hope and pray I never have to do.
          You are one of several on Linda’s post whose comments I certainly appreciate.
          Hang in there, it is going to get worse before it gets even worse. HEH!

        2. Hi CAddison, some people think the government will do “Door Dash”. Good luck with that. Perfect paragraph from you: WE who prep will be a good thing when supplies are limited. We will not be in the crowd, thus leaving more for them. Love this, thank you, Linda

    2. Hi CAddison, thank you for your kind words. I buy instant coffee. Mark does not like the smell of coffee; he was raised Mormon/LDS, and they do not drink coffee. I buy a really good one, Jacobs Creme Instant coffee. Yes, it should last for years. I do add Ghirardelli hot cocoa to it, yummy! I make my own Cafe Mochas! Saves me $6.00 every morning making them at home! LOL! I have never bought espresso; that sounds professional. I love it. Linda

  2. The 2 biggest reasons I keep a pretty well stocked pantry are supply issues and rising prices. When I was ready to retire 11 years ago, I preplanned for these very issues. Now I don’t need to panic buy!

  3. Thank you, Linda. I’ve quietly admired your messages to us for many years. Your book is a mainstay in my bookcase. Thanks to you I’m at peace with the way the world is at this time. However, I will be adding items to my grocery list each week! Blessings to you and yours.

    1. Hi Sharon, thank you for your kind words. Thank you for purchasing my book. My messages are always about preparing, not panicking. Keep up the good work, blessings to you as well. Linda

  4. So appreciate you, Linda, and all the “preppers” I started following 5 years ago. I have never been an empty pantry person from days of living on hubby’s teacher salary in the 80’s. However, you and others have been sounding the alarm which I have thankfully listened to, so no panic feeling here. Definitely going to do an updated inventory which is my standard procedure 2-3 times a year.

    1. Hi Marilynne, thank you for your kind words, my sweet friend. My husband and I grew up poor, though we didn’t realize it. But looking back, we know we were. But we learned all about being prepared. We will never have a panic feeling either; we stock when we can. Life is good. Keep up the good work, Linda

  5. With diesel nearing crisis level prices we have begun adding extra things and buying now rather than holding off as shipping will fail first.

    3/4 tank is empty

    Meds get refilled as soon as possible

    Canned goods are an investment

    1. Hi Matt, you nailed it. Canned goods NOW are an investment. 3/4 is indeed an empty tank. October 1st, we will refill all OTC meds with our Medicare quarterly coupon. We are stocked with antibiotics as well. Thankfully, the FDA removed the need for a prescription for fish antibiotics in some sources. I asked my vet and cardiologist; they are the very same pill. Harry suggested I get windshield wipers from Walmart; I ordered them immediately. Two complete sets. I’m extremely worried about the diesel situation. I rarely say that, but I am today. Linda

      1. Linda (and others……) We are involved with trucking. I have trucked both OTR and local. My other half is still out there trucking (at 71 years young). THERE IS SCUTTLEBUG THAT WE MIGHT BE FACING A TRUCKER STRIKE!!!! This is due primarily to the high fuel prices. Date is set for October 1. If you can get stuff done before October 1, do so, just in case. If this comes to happen, I am tempted to head to town to watch the shelves empty in 2 hours………

        1. Hi Tami/Tx, I totally agree. I have heard about October 1st, and I am livid that our truckers (your family) must be paying such high prices for diesel fuel. I really hope people understand the fact that without truckers, SOME people cannot survive for very long. People have been told to stock up on food, water, OTC medications, everything. Just do it. My gosh, my soapbox keeps getting taller. I’m praying for the price of diesel to come down. It does not look promising. Praying for you, your family, and every farmer who needs diesel as well. God bless you, Linda

          1. For all of us in America, you should have noticed that over the long run corporate profits continue to increase. WHY? Wholesale prices will fluctuate according to supplies and the commodity market. While retail prices MAY fluctuate a little, but when have you EVER seen retail prices go down and stay there…For us older folks, back in the late 60’s and early 70’s GAS was $.30 a gallon. Then someone said “let’s do an embargo” and price went up to over $1.00 in 1980. At that time, the price rose from $0.86 to $1.19 per gallon. Interesting that the price NEVER went down! So it is today, even though we produce our own gas abundantly, the price does not go down. The same oil wells still produce raw crude that were doing so back in the 60’s, maybe just a bit slower. Watch the profit announcement for the major oil companies. I can bet you that they won’t go down. California has become a key focus in the capacity contraction story. One of the most significant developments is Phillips 66’s decision to cease operations at its Wilmington refinery in Los Angeles by late 2025. The plant historically processed roughly 139,000 b/d of crude.

            Valero Energy has also announced plans to idle the Benicia refinery in the Bay Area by April 2026, shifting toward supplying the market through a mix of existing inventories and imports (Mexico). Together, these closures represent a substantial reduction in California’s refining base and raise concerns about tighter regional fuel supply.

            So do you really expect the price of gas to go down? If so, I have some swamp land to sell….

            I think you get the idea.

          2. Hi Larry, I doubt very much that the price of anything will ever go down. People are too greedy. I’m concerned for the farmers, ranchers, consumers, and truck drivers. Something has to give, or we will not have any truck drivers who can feed their families, or farmers, ranchers, or consumers like us who can survive. Am I nervous? More than you will ever know. Great comment, Linda

          3. Just picked up my most recent Azure order last week. Next cutoff for me is in October. I am hoping that if this strike does occur that it will only last a week or two……… But who know? Truck drivers are a very independent type person. Getting them all to park at the same time is going to be hard. Rumor is…… a lot of companies are getting on board this time, however, and if that does happen………….. Things could get UGLY. Think back to the 70’s…….. with violence and all. Make sure you have gasoline stored as well, as fuel will not be delivered with a strike (or might not be reliable). Truth be known, if fuel haulers would strike that is all that need be done.

          4. Hi Tami/TX, I totally agree. I have been writing articles for weeks now about things leading up to the strike, so my readers know I am serious about this one. People need to be prepared. ASAP, Linda

        2. Tami: THANK YOU for letting all of us in this forum know about the trucker’s strike! That was a very big help for all of us “preppers”. I have already sent out your alert to my elder sister (who is a widow and church mouse poor down in FL) and to others locally who could still make tonight’s deadline for ordering from Azure for late Sept.
          Isn’t that funny that I had this “push” in my spirit to order twice as much as usual this month? Done and glad to have done that…thanks to you and my “intuition”/the Holy Spirit pushing me!

        3. I was discussing this topic with kin yesterday. I suggested that truckers of all folks will be the ones that are stocked and ready –they knew the facts before we did.

  6. Like all of your followers, Linda, I am grateful for all your wisdom. I have done my best to prepare for everything the good Lord is sending our way. I am ahead of schedule for most items. I will continue to shop while not panicking. Please everyone stay safe and healthy.

  7. Thanks for this post. As I read it I realized we are on our last can of cocoa and don’t have enough chocolate chips (I freeze them).

    And as usual I agree with Matt and Harry, and though we don’t drink coffee I keep some instant on hand for guests.

    It was good to hear from you, Linda. Hope Matt gets the Aquarain. It will serve his family well.

    1. Hi Ray, yeah, the Aquarain is a bit more expensive, but in the long run it will last a lot longer because you can wash the filters. I’m not sure which one he will get. Everyone needs one. I have reverse osmosis, which is great when we have city water. I have a Big Berkey and black filters; they will have to do. You will be surprised at the cost of cocoa now. I have enough chocolate chips for my lifetime! I think I got carried away on chocolate. I am well stocked on instant coffee. LOL! Linda

      1. Linda, last I heard the Aquarain filters fit in a Big Berkey. Several of my friends that had Berkeys have switched over to the Aquarain filters.

        The only thing I didn’t like about my Aquarain model 400 was the spout was plastic. I replaced it with a stainless steel spout.

        1. Thanks kindly for that information, Ray. I was just looking at alternative filters that might fit our Berkey filter. We have several filters already, though, even some of the more high-falooting ones.

          Reading Book 2 “After the Dying Time” now… 🙂 Got slowed down with book 2, due to crops to put up! Off to pick up 2 bushels of our organic orchardists’ crops this week yet. Probably MacIntosh and Cortland apples.

          Hugs,

          JESS

          1. Jess,
            Glad to hear you’re reading After the Dying Time. Hope you enjoy it. I had a bumper crop of apples this year. Ended up canning apple pie filling, applesauce, storing several boxes of apples in our fridges and gave bushels away to neighbors and friends. Due to their low chill hour requirements I grow Anna and Dorsett Golden apples (also Gala, but that tree rarely produces much.

            Stay safe and prosperous.

            Ray

    2. Hi Ray, don’t know if you have room but I vac seal my chips in mason jars and they sit in the cool dark 2nd pantry.Costco’s has their Kirkland bags of chips back. The 4lb bag fits in 2 half gallon jars and a quart. If you have a jar sealer(thank you Linda) they will stay for a long time, kept in cool dark pantry. Found my quart jar,stuck in back of the pantry from before Costco stopped having the chips(DH “helped” rotate the shelf and inadvertently stuck the jar behind some other jars. ) When I opened it,the chips were fine.Didn’t bloom, tasted very good. DH and I did not have any problems,health wise after eating some.So that might help if you’re storing chips and need the space in the freezer.

        1. You are welcome Ray, however I’ve noticed ordering on line is a bit more expensive than going to the warehouse.I don’t know if they would ship things like the chips due to possible melting in transit. Most of the chocolate gift on line companies I’ve found won’t ship chocolate until colder months for that reason.I’d double check with Costco on their shipping policy.Wouldn’t want you to get a 4lb block instead of chips (LOL)

        2. Hi Ray, they may become a block if you do. Mark picked up some for me at Costco last year and left them in the car to go to another store. The “chips” became a block. Just FYI, Kathy is right, Linda

  8. Hi, everyone: Your suggestions are so great, I am taking notes and adding things on to my Azure order before the deadline cut-off tonight at 7 p.m.!! Linda, thank you for reminding me about tomatoes again. My husband is semi-allergic, so I use them, but sparingly. Unfortunately, our garden’s tomato crop did not do well in the cold temps. early on we had plus, plus, plus.
    The great news: !!! Azure has a bunch of things that are recommended on sale right now! I was so happy to find the Eden Organics (top of the line and no plastic can liner) Garbanzos on sale right now. Got a case for us and a case for a friend’s son. They are SO GREAT for protein, vitamins, etc. I also bought a 6-jar case of organic strained tomatoes, like what Dr. Gundry suggests to have less of a reaction if you are sensitive…from Bionature that’s grown in Italy, highest quality! Dr. Gundry says avoid the skins and seeds and you will do better with tomatoes, if you are sensitive! Need to go check on organic cornmeal, but I think we might still have a bunch.
    ANYWAY, dear Linda, thank you for so many reminders of shortage potentials. I have heard similar predictions elsewhere, along with several prophets saying we will be “locked in” for awhile for our protection once Antifa et al. start attacking many big cities and regions around the time of the midterm elections. Many are expecting and others say they have “seen” the attacks in visions. I am NOT SCARED one bit, but like to have the necessary foods stored away. Thanks for so many wonderful reminders, Linda! YOU ARE THE BEST!!

    And don’t forget your vitamins and minerals and ointments, people! Best dried fruit for you, according to my earlier on studies with a famous professor, is Organic Prunes, due to so many valuable minerals and vitamins contained therein.
    Best to all of you marvelous posters!

      1. Dearest Linda: I am so grateful for how God takes care of us over here. We had a friend come pick a 2nd haul of Aronia Berries (Superfood) for their smoothies, and she bought us fresh pears from her tree! THEN, minutes later, we got an email from our
        organic or nearly organic farm owner who said “DO you want any Green Peppers? We have loads and loads, so if you don’t want any, we will just feed them to our pigs!
        Wow! Knowing that the food shortage is coming up, this makes me feel very loved, with how food is almost being shipped to us by our friends!!!
        I am NOT AFRAID! GOD takes good care of His children, and that means all of the people who believe in Him and trust Him, not just us… PRAISE THE LORD!

  9. One thing if SHTF, and we have to stand in line for what’s left on the shelf – even though most who are reading this have been prepping, once in a while go stand in line and wear something a bit lose. That way people won’t think you are stocked with food and have lost some weight.

    1. Great point, Barb,
      I have purposely trimmed about 40 pounds since the first of the year. I still have all my “fat” clothes so I can easily wear those to look gaunt if I need to stand in line.

  10. Heavens I certainly hope food lines are not in our future, but I do listen to you, Linda, and another online “pantry preparedness” lady named Leisa. Neither are doomsayers, both calm and very informative. My husband still mentally rolls his eyes at me (so I can’t see him do it lol), but he doesn’t argue with me. Some people have WAY more than we have, just the two of us, but I think we are good for a little while. Linda, you were the very FIRST preparedness person I ever paid attention to–not sure when you started doing this but I know it has been probably 15 years since I became aware of you and your postings just made sense to me. The pandemic is when I became a little more attentive. Thanks for what you do, and the recommendation for a good instant coffee! my husband loves coffee, and I recently bought a grinder that fits on a mason jar. I’ve put several bags of coffee beans in the freezer. thanks again!

    1. Hi Suzanne, thank you for following me all these years! I know Leisa at SuttonsDaze; she’s awesome (not personally, but we have been in forums before). Down to earth, no nonsense. Yes, I started my blog in 2012! I wrote a post in 2016, “30 Items You Need To Survive a Pandemic”; it went viral in January 2020. It was crazy. Yes, Jacobs Creme Instant coffee is the best if you can’t brew it yourself. That grinder for a mason jar sounds awesome! Linda

  11. Great comments from everyone. I wish I could say we aren’t concerned about diesel prices, but we are. We wonder how much longer we can continue to farm. Such a sad time for small family farms, plus the crazy prices on fertilizer.

    1. Hi Paula, I am extremely concerned for families just like you. If you cannot afford to grow wheat because of diesel and fertilizer prices, and then add a drought, we, as a country, will not survive. You know exactly what I am trying to say. As a country, we depend on truck drivers, farmers, and ranchers. And so many more; I can’t begin to name them all. WE need your farm to be profitable. I am so sorry for what you are going through. Hugs from Utah, Linda

  12. My great-niece’s husband works at Krogers. I asked her to alert me if any shortages happen as I have a small grocery here and it may have that item(s) due to less traffic.
    She emailed me and he said it was cabbages and strawberries.
    Now, she has seen my room and knows what I do; I have 4 freezers in one room; that response was just so ‘out there’ you’d think she had no clue to my meaning.
    I responded with…I was thinking in the line of long-term, like cans!!!!!
    As we say in the south, bless her little pea picking heart!!!

  13. Thank you to everyone for the heads up on this. I do have a 5 gallon bucket of rice, plus extra in sealed jars. As well as dried beans. We have a lot of different spices that we use. Plus the canned tomatoes, corn, and other vegetables. I could easily be a vegetarian as long as I have my seasonings. I do need to get more Better Than Bouillon though. And more shortening. Tuesdays and Thursdays our local store has Senior days where we get a discount. I’ll be going in the morning. I always buy dried rice and beans when they go on sale. We buy canned goods on sale as well. I don’t eat a lot of meat at all. And usually it’s chicken or lean pork, except for bacon. Love me some bacon.

  14. Not only do we have to worry about prices but my son has a couple of friends that work their family’s farm.Not a huge farm like some of the conglomerates. They, for years had a great crew of migrants(three families) that would come for the harvest every year. They paid them decently and treated them right, so the crew would come every year but this year they sent word they won’t be coming as the crew is afraid they will be snatched up by ICE and sent God knows where. So I wonder if other farmers, not the conglomerate farms, have been facing the same thing. NO workers, no crops harvested.IF there are no crops sent to processors, the companies don’t have things to put on the shelves.The farmers themselves have been cutting back on what they grow as well from what my son has heard.

    1. Hi Kathy, I am glad you brought this up. I totally agree with you and your son. It’s really sad that these migrants work hard for the farmers and are now afraid to come to the US for fear of ICE. In all honesty, they should come across the border legally, but it’s expensive. They have done so for years; they are not the drug cartel and rapists that ICE is looking for. But they are illegal migrants. The problem is, we need them. I am extremely afraid about our food chain. I do not say that lightly. People in la-la land, better wake up. There will be a shortage of food. I do not want to scare anyone, but I think it will, oh well. We are going to have a food shortage. People need to learn to cook from scratch, at the very least with rice and beans. Those grocery shelves will soon be empty. Linda

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